The official site of bestselling author Michael Shermer The official site of bestselling author Michael Shermer

Forensic Pseudoscience

published September 2015
How trustworthy are DNA and other crime scene tests?
magazine cover

The criminal justice system has a problem, and its name is forensics. This was the message I heard at the Forensic Science Research Evaluation Workshop held May 26–27 at the AAAS headquarters in Washington, D.C. I spoke about pseudoscience but then listened in dismay at how the many fields in the forensic sciences that I assumed were reliable (DNA, fingerprints, and so on) in fact employ unreliable or untested techniques and show inconsistencies between evaluators of evidence.

The conference was organized in response to a 2009 publication by the National Research Council entitled Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward, which the U.S. Congress commissioned when it became clear that DNA was the only (barely) reliable forensic science. The report concluded that “the forensic science system, encompassing both research and practice, has serious problems that can only be addressed by a national commitment to overhaul the current structure that supports the forensic science community in this country.” Among the areas determined to be flawed and in need of more research are: accuracy and error rates of forensic analyses, sources of potential bias and human error in interpretation by forensic experts, fingerprints, firearms examination, tool marks, bite marks, impressions (tires, footwear), bloodstain-pattern analysis, handwriting, hair, coatings (for example, paint), chemicals (including drugs), materials (including fibers), fluids, serology, and fire and explosive analysis.

Take fire analysis. According to John J. Lentini, author of the definitive book Scientific Protocols for Fire Investigation (CRC Press, second edition, 2012), the field is filled with junk science. “What does that pattern of burn marks over there mean?” he recalled asking a young investigator who joined him on one of his more than 2,000 fire investigations. “Absolutely nothing” was the correct answer. Most of the time fire investigators find nonexistent patterns, Lentini elaborated, or they think a certain mark means the fire burned “fast” or “slow,” allegedly indicated by the “alligatoring” of wood: small, flat blisters mean the fire burned slow; large, shiny blisters mean it burned fast. Nonsense, he said. It may take a while for a fire to get going, but once a couch or bed burns and reaches a certain temperature, you are not going to be able to discern much about its cause.

Lentini debunked the myth of window “crazing” in which cracks indicate rapid heating supposedly caused by an accelerant (arson). In fact, the cracks are caused by rapid cooling, as when firefighters spray water on a burning building with windows. He also noted that burn marks on the floor are not the result of a liquid deliberately poured on it. When a fire consumes an entire room, the extreme heat burns even the floor, along with melting metal and leaving burn marks under a doorway threshold, which many investigators assume implies the use of an accelerant. “Most of the ‘science’ of fire and explosive analysis has been conducted by insurance companies looking to find evidence of arson so they don’t have to pay off their policies,” Lentini explained to me when I asked how his field became so fraught with pseudoscience.

Itiel Dror of the JDI Center for the Forensic Sciences at University College London spoke about his research on “cognitive forensics”— how cognitive biases affect forensic scientists. For example, the hindsight bias can lead one to work backward from a suspect to the evidence, and then the confirmation bias can direct one to find additional confirming evidence for that suspect even if none exists. Dror discussed studies that show “that the same expert examiner, evaluating the same prints but within different contexts, may reach different and contradictory decisions.” Not just fingerprints. Even DNA analysis is subjective. “When 17 North American expert DNA examiners were asked for their interpretation of data from an adjudicated criminal case in that jurisdiction, they produced inconsistent interpretations,” Dror and his co-author wrote in a 2011 paper in Science and Justice.

No one knows how many innocent people have been convicted based on junk forensic science, but the National Research Council report recommends substantial funding increases to enable labs to conduct experiments to improve the validity and reliability of the many forensic subfields. Along with a National Commission on Forensic Science, which was established in 2013, it’s a start.

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16 Comments to “Forensic Pseudoscience”

  1. Kimpatsu Says:

    So does this mean that America, Japan, and South Korea will now abandon their pointless violations of civil liberties by collecting fingerprints at the border?

  2. Tzindaro Says:

    There is no scientific evidence of the commonly stated principle that no two people have identical fingerprints. Nearly everyone believes it, but not a single peer reviewed study has ever been published to establish that as a fact. The idea was first introduced in the 1891 novel, Pud’nhead Wilson, by Mark Twain. A generation later another famous novelist, Edgar Rice Burroughs, recycled the idea in Tarzan Of The Apes. With two best-selling novelists having introduced it to the public, the stage was set for J.Edgar Hoover to announce that the FBI had a foolproof way to identify criminals and without anybody demnanding evidence, it became universally accepted. Today, in every courtroom in the world, under every sociopolitical system, each year, thousands of people are convicted on the basis of fingerprint evidence alone and there is no scientific evidence at all that they are guilty of anything.

  3. Tzindaro Says:

    Two very good articles by professional printer Fred Woodworth debunking fingerprints as evidence have been published in JUSTICE DENIED, The Magazine Of The Wrongly Convicted, a magazine published by prisoners. Both articles can be found on-line.

  4. Tzindaro Says:

    Found It!

    The widespread acceptance of fingerprints as absolute evidence of identity is just one more pseudoscientific myth promoted by the official scientists in the service of the state.

    Justice: Denied — The Magazine for the Wrongly Convicted

    A Printer Looks at Fingerprints

    By Fred Woodworth*

    Printer

    SOMEDAY, evidence could determine your fate in a court of law.

    Now pause for a moment and consider that last statement: Is it true? “Well,” you say, “I’m not planning on committing any crimes — not serious ones, anyway. But I suppose it’s conceivable that I could be charged with something whether I did it or not, and in the current climate of ‘zero tolerance’ and extreme profitability to police agencies in seizing property and sending people to jail, it could happen. So the statement is true; evidence could determine my fate in a court of law.”

    Wrong! Evidence doesn’t determine anything; PEOPLE who INTERPRET evidence call the shots. While this may seem like a nitpicking distinction, it is crucial to the understanding of how “legal” rights have gone far toward vanishing in an area you may not have thought much about.

    To an increasing degree, evidence is an abstraction far removed from the normal experience of the human beings who comprise juries. Thus the jury system, like all other aspects of statism, has migrated toward even further authoritarianism — in this case toward the reliance on the unseen, the indecipherable, or the incomprehensible, as delivered as fact by “expert witnesses”. Consider for an example of this, reliance on DNA “evidence”, which is growing by leaps and bounds: no one can see DNA directly; the molecules are so tiny that they are smaller than the wave-forms or graininess of fight itself, so they are in principle invisible. In order to “see” them, you have to bombard them with electrons or other subatomic particles, or “observe” or test them by other indirect means. Such evidence as that involving DNA is purely a matter of announcement of conclusion by laboratory workers. Recent alleged developments, however, permit the finding and analysis of DNA on all kinds of handled objects: coffee mugs, pens, keys, gloves, doorknobs, etc. Soon it may be “possible” to “detect” DNA particles adhering to air molecules as a result of those molecules’ contact with a person’s lungs.

    This is profoundly troubling, because it involves judgments by privileged elites, that are merely sent for blind ratification to the jurors who provide a socially acceptable facade. The already grave authoritarianism of the judicial system thus becomes quietly displaced by one in which ordinary people are puppets dancing on the strings of those who profess to see unusual things hidden from all view but theirs. In short, you have to take their word for it, and in a society that is shot through with propaganda to induce reverence toward authority figures, extremely large numbers of people will indeed blindly take their word.

    Even where no malicious intent is present, so-called experts are prone to errors or the subconscious slanting of their own views due to preconceptions on their part, or subtle cues emanating from others. A classic instance of error induced by experts themselves, who didn’t realize they were doing it, was the case of Clever Hans, a supposedly learned horse belonging to a Mr. von Osten, in Germany around 1900. Robert Rosenthal, of Harvard University, has briefly outlined the matter this way:

    “Hans gave every evidence of being able to add and subtract, multiply and divide… He was also able to read and spell, to identify musical tones, and to state the relationship of tones to one another. His preferred mode of communication… was by means of converting all answers into a number and tapping out these numbers with his foot.

    “…No…signals could be observed to control Hans’s tapping responses. In fact, on Sept. 12,1904, thirteen men risked their professional reputations by certifying that Hans was receiving no intentional cues from his owner or from any other questioner.

    “The investigation of Hans’s abilities is a classic … First [the investigator] established that Hans was, in fact, clever, and that his cleverness did not depend on the presence of his master. Almost anyone could put a question to Hans, and the chances were good that an accurate answer would be forthcoming. The experimental addition of blinders reduced Hans’s cleverness. [And when] questioners asked questions to which they did not know the answers, …Hans’s accuracy diminished.”

    Eventually it was discovered that extremely slight unconscious cues given off by ordinary people were reflected in the “answers” of the horse; and an experimenter in fact learned how to “read” people in this manner himself. The case has enormous significance in light of recent use by police of “drug dogs” to locate alleged contraband — which at times consists of residues so faint that they may well be imaginary – and many arrests appear to be based on “probable cause” that reduces down to “evidence” no different from that in the Clever Hans case.

    ORDINARILY, people think of fingerprint evidence as exact, scientific, unmistakable, verifiable. Such evidence rests, supposedly, on the statistical reality that it is highly unlikely for any two individuals to have exactly the same prints. Therefore, if I am to show that fingerprint evidence is not necessarily all that it’s painted as being, I have to assure you that I am not claiming that people here or there exist who have fingerprints identical to each other. (For all anyone knows, there may really be some such persons, but, again, the odds are tremendously against it.)

    However, it is difficult to define what is meant by “identical”. Due to the nature of the surfaces printed onto, as well as the elastic (flesh) surfaces that impart the prints, considerable variation in the print from any particular finger is to be expected. For this reason, as well as the fact that some persons’ prints may actually be very similar to each other, the likelihood of existence of virtually indistinguishable prints shoots far past the smiling picture of statistical certitude drawn by the propagandists for fingerprint identification.

    Beyond this, the unlikelihood of identicality is based on sets of ten fingerprints — and while a full set was originally required in courtroom evidence, increasingly today we find that a single print is being regarded as conclusive. This boosts the possibility of similarity even more. (Note that banks and driver’s license bureaus which people are forced to deal with are requiring but a single print — not all ten.) Single prints, usually of the right index finger or thumb, are being used currently to check the identity of persons applying for jobs, seeking certification as day-care workers, tow-truck drivers, or nursing-home staff. These send millions of prints into the identification system, and false matches are becoming common. Further downgrading the supposed exactitude of fingerprint identification is the surprising fact that some people have no fingerprints (friction ridges) at all: according to Jim Wayman, director of the National Biometric Test Center at San Jose, one out of 50 people — not one out of a billion, not one out of a million, or one out of a thousand, but one out of FIFTY – has smooth fingers with no friction ridges, or with ones that are all but absent.

    In case you’re still confident that most people nonetheless do have quite clear prints, which are obviously distinct from one another, ponder these words from a fingerprint textbook:

    “How to compare fingerprints: What factors must be present for one to declare that two prints were made by the same finger?

    “The court and jury are usually not familiar with fingerprint evidence, and must of necessity rely upon the honest judgment of the witness. As a law enforcement officer, it is your obligation first to convince yourself that two prints are identical before you testify to that fact in court. ”

    Think about this. You must “convince yourself.” Let’s say you were being asked to compare two numbers in a logarithmic table, say 3.91202, and 3.93183. You either see and understand, and KNOW, that they are different, or you don’t; but there is no matter of “convincing yourself”. Quite clearly, fingerprint identification is by no means as cut-and-dried as recognition of mathematical identity. The text goes on:

    “As you know, many latent impressions are worthless smudges, while many are clear, easily identified prints. Between these two extremes will be prints whose clarity, or lack of it, makes a positive pronouncement of identity difficult. When such an impression comes up for identification, unless you are sure in your own mind beyond a reasonable doubt…, then by all means do not testify to their ‘identity.”

    Right here is where the “science” of fingerprint identification seems to pass into the realm of Clever Hans subjectivity. It would be hard, if not impossible, for a fingerprint “expert” who believed totally in the identity of two prints (as a result of other factors, including bias or persuasion), to refrain from slanting his own mental picture of the prints and their alleged similarity.

    “If the fingerprint technician should look at the known print before the unknown one, he is bound to be influenced, whether he realizes it or not, by the ridge formations in it. … He may unconsciously see in the unknown print formations which were clearly visible in the inked print but which may not be clear in the latent impression. We do not mean to infer [sic] that he would do this with any dishonest intention. It is just human nature to do so, and may even occur without the technician’s knowledge.”

    It’s looking less and less scientifically exact, is it not?

    “Many experts won’t take a case into court with less than twelve characteristics” [print similarities] “but there are many cases on record in which convictions have been obtained with eight to ten. There have been cases in which the jury accepted as conclusive proof an expert’s opinion with only six ridge characteristics showing… ”

    BIOMETRICS — the branch of anthropology concerned with measurement of the human body – was the forerunner of fingerprint studies, but, strangely enough, measurement is not of much use in the comparison and classification of fingerprints. Instead, the study of these patterns focuses on the particular ways in which the ridges of skin whorl or loop or arch around each other. Elastic deformation — the tendency of a pliant surface to bulge or stretch according to the amount of pressure on it — results in variant prints from any particular finger. More skin surface, or less; fewer friction ridge characteristics, or more, will result as the touch of a finger exerts varying force against the surface that will eventually exhibit the fingerprint. Excessive force of touch may reveal more of the detail toward the sides of the finger while obscuring that of the middle.

    And, at this point, the mechanics of transfer of finger prints exhibits much in common with ordinary printing, as of ink on paper.

    In the classic, original technique of book printing (known as letterpress), metal type having a relief surface was contacted by an ink-bearing surface, usually a roller. As the image portion or face of the type took on ink, paper pressed against this type subsequently was left with a printed image on it. Type, however, unlike the friction ridges and flesh of fingers, deforms very little under pressure. Nevertheless, even type — metal type — is capable of delivering a vastly differing impression under differing conditions of pressure and on hard or soft papers. A typeface that looks spindly and weak if printed on a smooth-surfaced paper may look robust and bold when printed with much greater pressure on a spongier surface. Indeed, it might be difficult even to say with certainty whether two separate images were produced from the exact same piece of type.

    Printer2

    As years went by, various means of printing more rapidly and conveniently were introduced, and some of these involved the transfer of images in ink, not from metal type, but from metal, rubber, or plastic plates or surfaces. Here we begin to approximate more closely the curved and/or flexible printing surface of skin, and here too we run into the tremendously equivocal nature of the image when it is printed from a soft plate, onto a soft paper, with varying amounts of pressure. Now it becomes almost impossible even for an expert typographer to Identify a typeface, or to tell the difference between two typefaces, when the printing has been done under less than ideal conditions or by unskilled or careless pressmen.

    Fingerprints, you will note, are almost never set down at some crime scene under any BUT poor conditions or in any other way than extremely carelessly.

    In commercial printing, even with presses explicitly designed to deliver the best possible impressions from the most carefully made plates, fairly great quantities of wasted sheets are produced as a print run is gotten underway. Blurry, smudgy, under-inked or over-inked copies emerge from the press for some time before all the factors settle down into the proper balance of ink film, transfer pressures, and temperature. Fingerprints, meanwhile, produced haphazardly with no equipment whatsoever and with no attention paid to exerting proper pressures, are popularly supposed to be models of clarity that detectives can photograph and compare as if they were variant texts of a book. In reality, obviously, the proportion of the “prints whose lack of clarity makes a positive pronouncement of identity difficult,” must be rather great. In fact it seems likely that this would be the overwhelming majority of prints, and that far more instances of police identification of prints are really statements of probability, than anything approaching certainty. They are opinions.

    A FURTHER DEPARTURE from truly scientific accuracy comes with the comparison of fundamentally dissimilar samples. Formal fingerprinting, as done to persons in custody or to those who for one reason or another voluntarily submit to the procedure, consists of taking rolled prints — ones in which the entire friction-ridge surface of the end joint of the finger is rolled to create a complete print. Obviously, fingerprints inadvertently left at some scene will seldom, if ever, reveal all of the same features. A serious but never discussed implication is buried in these facts; and that is that while every human being’s prints may well be different from every other’s, surely there are bound to be certain sections that are identical — and the comparing of some small portion of a print by person X with a large number of full portions in rolled prints of many other persons, may well result in a mismatch. This is reducible to a mathematical formula, which can be stated in language as: The smaller the sample that is compared to a primary object, the greater likelihood there is of a correspondence.

    An illustration of this principle can be made by supposing that some play of Shakespeare be compared against the present issue of The Match, in its totality. Obviously they will be entirely dissimilar. Now compare some isolated short sentence from this journal to every sentence in Shakespeare: there may or may not be two that are exactly the same, but at least the odds will now be tremendously greater in favor of a correspondence. Finally, if you selected some pair of words and then hunted all through the Bard’s work for them, odds would approach 85% or higher that you’d find that identical couple. At a single word the odds would rise still farther, and at individual letters of the alphabet the odds would, of course, be precisely 100%.

    Printer 3

    S0 FAR, in this discussion, I’ve been willing to assume that persons comparing fingerprints were merely hampered in giving precise, true answers about identity, by the somewhat equivocal nature of fingerprints themselves. I’ve assumed that those persons, usually police, were individuals of honesty and goodwill, and that any errors were only the ones that anybody might make. However, my views are considerably at variance with such a naive belief, and now it is time to ask: Can fingerprint evidence be deliberately distorted or contrived in order to show an identity where there is none — or, in other words, to produce “evidence” that will allow conviction of an innocent person?

    The answer to this is an emphatic Yes. For all the reasons heretofore outlined, there is much room for latitude of interpretation in some cases about some prints. Furthermore, it is entirely possible for fingerprints to be manufactured, or left at some scene that a defendant never visited, and this is an opinion that I back up with 27 years of experience in graphic arts and printing-related study. Transference of actual prints made by real fingers, from one location to another by means of sticky tape, is one possibility, with techniques long known to law enforcement officers. However, I am here concerned with the actual reproduction of prints, by mechanical or photomechanical means.

    Can a fingerprint be reproduced? Of course it can — at left, below, you see such a reproduction, a print, in ink, on paper. A printing plate, carefully enough made, can easily contain far more detail than necessary to duplicate the print from a human finger. Compared to the amount of detail in a halftone plate for printing a photograph, for instance, where the plate must hold information on about 40,000 dots per square inch, the reproduction of a fingerprint is a relatively trivial matter.

    Nor does it involve carrying a printing press to some crime scene and printing someone’s print on a window-ledge there in order to implicate him or her. Instead, it could be done by a contrivance like a tiny rubber stamp.

    The possession by anyone of your fingerprints opens the door to such a possibility. How many times this may have been done in the past is something we will never know, but there are certainly evidences of it. Clifford Skeete, formerly a criminologist with the Inglewood California police department, became a fugitive in 1990 when a report concluded that he had manufactured evidence against a suspect by superimposing a fingerprint onto a murder weapon. What method he used has not been revealed, but in this instance the deception was discovered before trial, and officials were reluctantly re-examining all other cases he had handled.

    R. Austin Freeman, a chief surgeon in the throat and ear department of Middlesex Hospital, London around the 1890’s, later became the Deputy Medical Officer of Hollaway Prison in London – and later, when his health broke down, he turned to writing. His first novel appeared in 1907 and used a plot device that he’d obviously been turning over and over in his mind through his medical experience in the hospital and prison: the forging of a fingerprint. Unfortunately I’ve been unable to locate this novel, so do not know what method he had decided was workable; but I cite this instance to show that some minds have been pondering such possibilities for a long time.

    Modern plastic materials probably provide the widest array of possible substitutes for authentic fingers and friction-ridges that ever existed. Photo rubber plates for printing use, for example, now may be obtained in a variety of hardnesses (or softnesses), some of which are practically indistinguishable from that of flesh. Anyone with access to a set of black-and-white fingerprints of some person could without much trouble arrange to have negatives made, from which photographic rubber copies would be exposed and developed. Pressing such copies against an inked flat surface and then “touching” some object with them would result in an inky fingerprint on that object. If instead of ink one used skin oils or any of the other substances that commonly appear in real fingerprints, such as blood, paint, motor oil, etc., the resulting print would be indistinguishable from that left by the original human hand.

    WHETHER or not you believe that fingerprint evidence may be as fallible as I’ve suggested, I hope that this brief criticism has at least introduced a doubt about ANY statements that must be taken on faith. The journey of ten thousand miles does indeed begin with a single step; and the effort to build a free world in some far distant future begins here and now with the first brick: mistrust of, and skepticism toward, every tenet, principle, action, procedure, policy, or justification of coercive authority. (1997)

    Headline in The New York Times, April 7, 2001: FINGERPRINTING’S RELIABILITY DRAWS GROWING COURT CHALLENGES “…In courts around the nation, defense lawyers are using evidence of fingerprinting’s fallibility to get it declared inadmissible under standards set by the Supreme Court to keep unproven ‘junk science’ out of courtrooms.”

    * Mr. Woodworth is a writer and printer living in Tucson, Arizona. This article appeared in a publication edited by Mr. Woodworth: The Mystery and Adventure Series Review, No. 34, Summer 2001. The address is The Mystery and Adventure Series Review, PO Box 3012, Tucson, AZ 85702.

    © Justice Denied

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  5. rob s Says:

    I’m glad the article mentions the fact that these findings means there’s untold numbers of innocents in prison. I’m a little put off by the lack of outrage and demands that efforts be made to immediately release anyone convicted using this junk science.

  6. Rocky S. Stone Says:

    I’m quite disappointed to see Mr. Shermer’s name on this article. How is labeling all forensic science as pseudoscience and junk science any different than a statement such as, “All black people are…”?

    There are clearly opponents of forensic science who have a vested interest in seeing all of the disciplines discredited. The criticisms of criminal defense attorneys and those they hire as forensic “experts” are the instigators and propagators of most of the “doubt” concerning these sciences.

    Certainly, no field in forensic science is perfect, some are better than others, and human error does occur. How do those factors set these disciplines apart from any other field?

    As both a skeptic and a retired forensic scientist, the types of arguments in Shermer’s article are reminiscent of ignorant, biased creationist attacks on evolution.

  7. stonecherub Says:

    Forensic science is a tool of society and ours is a society of punishers. America was supposedly founded on Enlightenment principles and one of the most fundamental of those was Blackstone’s formulation, “All presumptive evidence of felony should be admitted cautiously; for the law holds it better that ten guilty persons escape, than that one innocent party suffer.” (Wikipedia) In our time of terror, we will punish a dozen innocents, not to prevent the guilty from getting away, but to make ourselves feel better. Our prison-industrial complex is not the product of spontaneous generation.

    If you cannot imagine your lily-white self being falsely accused of a crime and facing the awesome power of the state, everything is just hunky-dory.

  8. Myron Sistner Says:

    Firstly let us suggest we are commenting on POST, as opposed to FOREnsics. All that is past is perhaps prologue. Hence we commend Shermer’s dismanteling of “absolutes” as conclusive. As a technology manager nothing is presumed as final, not even to the slightest degree. Coming to us are ever convergent streams of dissection by new innovations, permitting the sightings of the previously invisible.

    IoT is expanding the what, when, and how of our human consciousness, and revealing methodology and patterns to which our species is held captive.

    Shermer “knows” in his articulately admirable style. Carry on Michael, bearing the massive weight of your mind’s ever expanding spectrum.

  9. vegan1859 Says:

    The article claim that no one can directly see DNA. The author has never seen the common classroom demonstration in which DNA is collected in a watch glass. This is not meant condescendingly; the magazine is written by prisoners.

  10. Joe Says:

    Gee, Michael, I wonder if ideas you wrote in your article, such as these: “Itiel Dror of the JDI Center for the Forensic Sciences at University College London spoke about his research on “cognitive forensics”— how cognitive biases affect forensic scientists. For example, the hindsight bias can lead one to work backward from a suspect to the evidence, and then the confirmation bias can direct one to find additional confirming evidence for that suspect even if none exists.” will force you to revisit your gullible notions that “Oswald did it!” regarding the assassination of JFK, and thus force you to confront the likelihood of multiple shooters??? For “the hindsight bias” and “the confirmation bias” were certainly hard at work by most of the members of the Warren Commission, the media, the F.B.I., et al. They had been served their suspect on a silver platter, then worked overtime to ensure that the evidence would point only to him.
    So how about it, Michael? Are you going to learn something from your own research and writing and reconsider your previously held convictions???
    (Why am I so filled with doubt that that day will ever dawn?)

  11. Michael Says:

    “No one knows how many innocent people have been wrongly convicted based on junk forensic science…” If no one knows, where does your assumption that ANY innocent people have been convicted based on junk forensic science come from? Why aren’t you questioning how many guilty people were released or never arrested or found not guilty based on junk forensic science? The so-called Innocence Project and its claimed “exonerations” would be a good place to start.

  12. kennwrite Says:

    Fingerprints may not be a variable which, in itself, constitutes evidence that can substantiate that a person committed a crime, but it can certainly be a contributing variable where it supports other evidence that can be used to draw a sound conclusion. There are still quite a bit of observations that can be made to determine that fingerprints belong to a particular individual. By saying that there is the possibility that two persons can have uncannily similar (not the same) fingerprints does not mean that all conclusions drawn by fingerprint evidence are false.

  13. Randy Grein Says:

    I don’t always agree with Michael, but in this case he is spot on. While forensics experts may protest, the fact is they are dealing with analog data that is being copied or analyzed, either to analog again or to digital. For those ignorant of such conversions, information is discarded in the process. How much is discarded depends on the process and precision used. This is unavoidable.

    If forensic experts would openly disclose the degree of uncertainty they would be more worthy of trust. As it is, the belief in ‘magic voodoo tech’ is more reminiscent of Sherlock Holmes than anything resembling actual evidence. But then, as Michael alludes to the problem is far more than just with forensics experts. We give too much credit to officer testimony as well.

  14. JR Says:

    I am frightened to death that a police officer can pull me over in my car, walk a dog around the car to get permission to search (that permission being provided by the dog), then use a vacuum cleaner to pull the dirt out of my floorboards, and finally use a packaged “presumptive test” to declare that dirt an illegal substance. Innocent people all over thwe country have been jailed on the evidence provided by these tests. In one instance the substance which tested positive for methamphetamine was human cremated remains. In another, it was sugar. Why do these tests have the blessing of the court as presumptive evidence of drug possession? Shouldn’t the standard of evidence to lock someone up be more stringent?

  15. EJ Wagner Says:

    “The criminal justice system has a problem, and its name is forensics “ is the sort of sweeping, vague statement that is a problem in itself.
    It does not define “forensics”- which is really a garbage pail term which covers everything from objective sciences such as chemistry and mathematics to interpretive disciplines like trace and prints.
    The idea that DNA is the only reliable science has been popularized in the press, but totally overlooks toxicology, a branch of chemistry, with commonly replicable results.
    The application of science to the criminal justice system needs training , common standards, (such as how many points of agreements constitute a fingerprint match) and adequate funds for training, something sorely lacking at the present time.
    It needs education of potential jurors in critical thinking, something our schools might address, attorneys with sufficient scientific knowledge to cross examine effectively, and funding so that the accused have adequate access to them
    There is a great difference between crime labs, some excellent, others little more than contaminated rooms with stained sinks and a few test tubes.
    We need funding, sensible skepticism, and judicious reasoning.
    We need a careful evaluation, not simplistic negative statements, which will not only toss the baby out with the bath water, but fling the nanny and the family dog after them

  16. Francis Says:

    No two set of prints have been found to be the same anywhere in the world ever. You need a study to believe this more like some common sense. Will they ever get a uni degree along those lines?

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